2030 FIFA World Cup Champion
Spain leads at 16%, followed by France at 13% and England at 7%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
SpainYes 16c · No 84c
16%FranceYes 14c · No 89c
13%EnglandYes 7c · No 94c
7%BrazilYes 6c · No 94c
6%GermanyYes 5c · No 96c
5%PortugalYes 5c · No 96c
5%ArgentinaYes 4c · No 97c
4%ItalyYes 3c · No 98c
3%MoroccoYes 3c · No 98c
3%NetherlandsYes 3c · No 98c
3%Show 72 more outcomes
MexicoYes 2c · No 98c
2%USAYes 2c · No 98c
2%NorwayYes 2c · No 99c
2%JapanYes 1c · No 99c
1%ColombiaYes 1c · No 99c
1%BelgiumYes 1c · No 99c
1%CroatiaYes 1c
<1%GreeceYes 1c
<1%Korea RepublicYes 1c
<1%QatarYes under 1c
<1%Ivory CoastYes under 1c
<1%VenezuelaYes under 1c
<1%UruguayYes under 1c
<1%Cape VerdeYes under 1c
<1%EgyptYes under 1c
<1%ParaguayYes under 1c
<1%SenegalYes under 1c
<1%SwitzerlandYes under 1c
<1%UkraineYes under 1c
<1%Burkina FasoYes under 1c
<1%Congo DRYes under 1c
<1%Saudi ArabiaYes under 1c
<1%IrelandYes under 1c
<1%HaitiYes under 1c
<1%EcuadorYes under 1c
<1%SlovakiaYes under 1c
<1%RomaniaYes under 1c
<1%HondurasYes under 1c
<1%North MacedoniaYes under 1c
<1%KosovoYes under 1c
<1%TurkiyeYes under 1c
<1%JordanYes under 1c
<1%SwedenYes under 1c
<1%IsraelYes under 1c
<1%CuracaoYes under 1c
<1%NigeriaYes under 1c
<1%AlbaniaYes under 1c
<1%CanadaYes under 1c
<1%Costa RicaYes under 1c
<1%UzbekistanYes under 1c
<1%TunisiaYes under 1c
<1%SurinameYes under 1c
<1%South AfricaYes under 1c
<1%PanamaYes under 1c
<1%New ZealandYes under 1c
<1%Northern IrelandYes under 1c
<1%New CaledoniaYes under 1c
<1%MaliYes under 1c
<1%JamaicaYes under 1c
<1%IcelandYes under 1c
<1%IR IranYes under 1c
<1%HungaryYes under 1c
<1%GeorgiaYes under 1c
<1%AlgeriaYes under 1c
<1%CameroonYes under 1c
<1%BoliviaYes under 1c
<1%Bosnia and HerzegovinaYes under 1c
<1%United Arab EmiratesYes under 1c
<1%PolandYes under 1c
<1%PeruYes under 1c
<1%AustraliaYes under 1c
<1%ScotlandYes under 1c
<1%IraqYes under 1c
<1%FinlandYes under 1c
<1%DenmarkYes under 1c
<1%WalesYes under 1c
<1%SerbiaYes under 1c
<1%SloveniaYes under 1c
<1%GhanaYes under 1c
<1%CzechiaYes under 1c
<1%ChileYes under 1c
<1%AustriaYes under 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Spain.
Kalshi’s ruleSpain
If Spain is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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