FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner

Javokhir Sindarov leads at 71%, followed by Gukesh Dommaraju at 26% and Hikaru Nakamura at <1%, from Kalshi’s prices.

Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.

Chance of each outcomeChance

Javokhir SindarovYes 71c · No 30c

71%

Gukesh DommarajuYes 26c · No 75c

26%

Hikaru NakamuraYes 1c

<1%

Anish GiriYes 1c

<1%

Fabiano CaruanaYes 1c

<1%

Rameshbabu PraggnanandhaaYes 1c

<1%

Andrey EsipenkoYes 1c

<1%

Wei YiYes 1c

<1%

Matthias BluebaumYes 1c

<1%

Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.

What settles it.

Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Javokhir Sindarov.

Kalshi’s ruleJavokhir Sindarov

If Javokhir Sindarov wins the World Chess Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.