Flyweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026
Joshua Van leads at 98%, followed by Manel Kape at 3% and Tatsuro Taira at 1%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Joshua VanNo 5c
98%Manel KapeYes 5c
3%Tatsuro TairaYes 2c
1%Muhammad MokaevYes 2c
1%Amir AlbaziYes 2c
1%Brandon MorenoYes 2c
1%Brandon RoyvalYes 2c
1%Kai Kara-FranceYes 2c
1%Alexandre PantojaYes 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Joshua Van.
Kalshi’s ruleJoshua Van
If Joshua Van holds the UFC Flyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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