NASCAR Cup Series Champion
Kyle Larson leads at 91%, followed by Denny Hamlin at 5% and Chase Briscoe at 2%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Kyle LarsonYes 91c · No 10c
91%Denny HamlinYes 5c · No 96c
5%Chase BriscoeYes 3c · No 99c
2%Christopher BellYes 2c · No 99c
2%Tyler ReddickYes 1c
<1%Ryan BlaneyYes 1c
<1%Joey LoganoYes 1c
<1%Carson HocevarYes 1c
<1%Chase ElliottYes 1c
<1%William ByronYes 1c
<1%Show 25 more outcomes
Ty GibbsYes 1c
<1%Bubba WallaceYes 1c
<1%Chris BuescherYes 1c
<1%Ross ChastainYes 1c
<1%Brad KeselowskiYes 1c
<1%Austin CindricYes 1c
<1%Austin DillonYes 1c
<1%Cole CusterYes 1c
<1%Ryan PreeceYes 1c
<1%Alex BowmanYes 1c
<1%Daniel SuarezYes 1c
<1%Josh BerryYes 1c
<1%Connor ZilischYes 1c
<1%Erik JonesYes 1c
<1%Ricky Stenhouse Jr.Yes 1c
<1%Zane SmithYes 1c
<1%John Hunter NemechekYes 1c
<1%Shane Van GisbergenYes 1c
<1%Ty DillonYes 1c
<1%AJ AllmendingerYes 1c
<1%Cody WareYes 1c
<1%Todd GillilandYes 1c
<1%Riley HerbstYes 1c
<1%Michael McDowellYes 1c
<1%Noah GragsonYes 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Kyle Larson.
Kalshi’s ruleKyle Larson
If Kyle Larson wins the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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