Oscar nominees: Best Actor in 2027
Matt Damon (The Odyssey) leads at 92%, followed by Andrew Scott (Pressure) at 88% and John Malkovich (Wild Horse Nine) at 86%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Matt Damon (The Odyssey)Yes 93c · No 9c
92%Andrew Scott (Pressure)Yes 89c · No 13c
88%John Malkovich (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 92c · No 21c
86%Anthony Ippolito (I Play Rocky)Yes 60c · No 44c
58%John Turturro (The Only Living Pickpocket in New York)Yes 52c · No 50c
51%Ryan Gosling (Project Hail MAry)Yes 49c · No 52c
49%Tom Cruise (Digger)Yes 51c · No 55c
48%Robert Pattinson (Primetime)Yes 26c · No 76c
25%Timothée Chalamet (Dune: Part Three)Yes 24c · No 82c
21%Yura Borisov (Artificial)Yes 23c · No 83c
20%Show 24 more outcomes
Sebastian Stan (Fjord)Yes 17c · No 84c
17%Pedro Pascal (The Mandalorian & Grogu)Yes 13c · No 89c
12%Jaafar Jackson (Michael)Yes 11c · No 90c
11%Tom Holland (Spider-Man: Brand New Day)Yes 15c · No 98c
9%Mahershala Ali (Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother)Yes 10c · No 94c
8%Adam Driver (Paper Tiger)Yes 10c · No 98c
6%Sam Rockwell (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 7c · No 95c
6%Andrew Garfield (Artificial)Yes 7c · No 96c
6%Javier Bardem (The Beloved)Yes 8c · No 98c
5%Guy Pearce (Ink)Yes 10c
5%Adam Scott (The Whisper Man)Yes 8c · No 99c
5%Dominic Sessa (Tony)Yes 6c · No 98c
4%Jeremy Strong (The Social Reckoning)Yes 6c · No 99c
4%Channing Tatum (Josephine)Yes 5c · No 98c
4%Josh O'Connor (Jack of Spades)Yes 6c · No 99c
4%Keanu Reeves (The Entertainment System Is Down)Yes 6c · No 99c
4%Robert Aramayo (I Swear)Yes 4c · No 98c
3%Sacha Baron Cohen (Ladies First)Yes 4c · No 99c
3%Robert DeNiro (The Whisper Man)Yes 4c · No 99c
3%Brad Pitt (The Adventures of Cliff Booth)Yes 3c · No 99c
2%Hanns Zischler (Fatherland)Yes 3c · No 99c
2%Jeremy Allen White (The Mandalorian and Grogu)Yes 2c · No 99c
2%Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)Yes 2c
1%Charles Melton (Saturn Return)Yes 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market and more than one can settle Yes. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Matt Damon (The Odyssey).
Kalshi’s ruleMatt Damon (The Odyssey)
If Matt Damon has been nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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