Premier League top four, 2026-27

Arsenal leads at 96%, followed by Liverpool at 68% and Manchester City at 58%, from Kalshi’s prices.

Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.

Chance of each outcomeChance
ArsenalYes 97c · No 6c
96%
LiverpoolYes 69c · No 33c
68%
Manchester CityYes 59c · No 44c
58%
ChelseaYes 58c · No 45c
57%
BrightonYes 47c · No 55c
46%
BrentfordYes 21c · No 82c
20%
TottenhamYes 21c · No 86c
18%
Aston VillaYes 23c · No 88c
18%
Manchester UnitedYes 16c · No 85c
16%
BournemouthYes 17c · No 99c
9%
Show 10 more outcomes
EvertonYes 14c · No 97c
9%
Nottingham ForestYes 17c
9%
Leeds UnitedYes 10c · No 94c
8%
Newcastle UnitedYes 10c · No 95c
8%
SunderlandYes 7c · No 98c
5%
Crystal PalaceYes 7c
4%
Hull CityYes 5c · No 99c
3%
FulhamYes 5c · No 99c
3%
Ipswich TownYes 6c
3%
Coventry CityYes 4c
2%
Each outcome is its own Kalshi market and more than one can settle Yes. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer.

What settles it.

Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Arsenal.

Kalshi’s ruleArsenal
If Arsenal is a top 4 finisher in the 2026-27 EPL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.

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EVDESK is research and trading software. It is not a broker, not an exchange, not a fund and not investment advice. Prices and chances on this page are read from Kalshi’s public market data at the time shown and move constantly. Prediction-market trading can lose money. See the Risk Disclosure. Not affiliated with Kalshi, Inc.