Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026

Islam Makhachev leads at 97%, followed by Michael Morales at 6% and Carlos Prates at 3%, from Kalshi’s prices.

Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.

Chance of each outcomeChance

Islam MakhachevYes 97c · No 4c

97%

Michael MoralesYes 12c

Carlos PratesYes 5c

Ian Machado GarryYes 1c

<1%

Ilia TopuriaYes 1c

<1%

Jack Della MaddalenaYes 1c

<1%

Shavkat RakhmonovYes 1c

<1%

Belal MuhammadYes 1c

<1%

Kamaru UsmanYes 1c

<1%

Sean BradyYes 1c

<1%

Show 1 more outcomes

Leon EdwardsYes 1c

<1%

Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.

What settles it.

Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Islam Makhachev.

Kalshi’s ruleIslam Makhachev

If Islam Makhachev is the UFC Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.