AL Rookie of the Year Winner, 2026 season
Kevin McGonigle leads at 96%, followed by Parker Messick at 3% and Munetaka Murakami at 1%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Kevin McGonigleYes 96c · No 5c
96%Parker MessickYes 3c · No 98c
3%Munetaka MurakamiYes 2c
1%Chase DeLauterYes 1c
<1%Colt EmersonYes 1c
<1%Kazuma OkamotoYes 1c
<1%Samuel BasalloYes 1c
<1%Travis BazzanaYes 1c
<1%Trey YesavageYes 1c
<1%Payton TolleYes 1c
<1%Show 20 more outcomes
Carter JensenYes 1c
<1%Walbert UreñaYes 1c
<1%Spencer Jones Jr.Yes 1c
<1%Gage JumpYes 1c
<1%Tatsuya ImaiYes 1c
<1%Connelly EarlyYes 1c
<1%Braden MontgomeryYes 1c
<1%George Lombard Jr.Yes 1c
<1%Noah SchultzYes 1c
<1%Sam AntonacciYes 1c
<1%Max ClarkYes 1c
<1%Carson WilliamsYes 1c
<1%Emmanuel RodriguezYes 1c
<1%Brice MatthewsYes 1c
<1%Tie/Co-WinnersYes 1c
<1%Walker JenkinsYes 1c
<1%Lazaro MontesYes 1c
<1%Hagen SmithYes 1c
<1%Sebastian WalcottYes 1c
<1%Josue BriceñoYes 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Kevin McGonigle.
Kalshi’s ruleKevin McGonigle
If Kevin McGonigle wins the Pro Baseball American League Rookie of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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