F1 Constructors Champion, 2026
Mercedes AMG Motorsport leads at 99%, followed by Ferrari at 1% and Red Bull Racing at <1%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Mercedes AMG MotorsportNo 2c
99%FerrariYes 2c
1%Red Bull RacingYes 1c
<1%McLarenYes 1c
<1%CadillacYes 1c
<1%Aston MartinYes 1c
<1%AlpineYes 1c
<1%AudiYes 1c
<1%WilliamsYes 1c
<1%HaasYes 1c
<1%Show 1 more outcomes
Racing BullsYes 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Mercedes AMG Motorsport.
Kalshi’s ruleMercedes AMG Motorsport
If Mercedes AMG Motorsport wins the F1 Constructors Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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