Who will have a #1 album in 2026?
Lil Baby leads at 64%, followed by Travis Scott at 22% and Beyoncé at 20%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Lil BabyYes 68c · No 40c
64%Travis ScottYes 24c · No 81c
22%BeyoncéYes 22c · No 82c
20%Kendrick LamarYes 20c · No 83c
19%SZAYes 20c · No 84c
18%Lil Uzi VertYes 19c · No 86c
17%Olivia DeanYes 20c · No 88c
16%The WeekndYes 20c · No 89c
16%Lana Del ReyYes 17c · No 87c
15%EminemYes 17c · No 90c
14%Show 92 more outcomes
Tate McRaeYes 15c · No 90c
13%Young ThugYes 13c · No 90c
12%Megan Thee StallionYes 16c · No 93c
12%Kanye West / YeYes 12c · No 91c
11%SombrYes 13c · No 92c
11%Sabrina CarpenterYes 12c · No 91c
11%Chappell RoanYes 13c · No 94c
10%DoechiiYes 11c · No 93c
9%Justin BieberYes 11c · No 94c
9%Leon ThomasYes 12c · No 95c
9%RihannaYes 8c · No 94c
7%Frank OceanYes 10c · No 96c
7%Lady GagaYes 9c · No 95c
7%Shawn MendesYes 10c · No 96c
7%ColdplayYes 8c · No 94c
7%Lola YoungYes 10c · No 96c
7%ROSALÍAYes 10c · No 97c
7%The MaríasYes 8c · No 96c
6%Benson BooneYes 9c · No 97c
6%JojiYes 7c · No 96c
6%Rauw AlejandroYes 8c · No 97c
6%Pharrell WilliamsYes 8c · No 97c
6%Lil WayneYes 6c · No 96c
5%Bryson TillerYes 7c · No 97c
5%MgkYes 7c · No 97c
5%NFYes 7c · No 97c
5%Kodak BlackYes 7c · No 97c
5%Calvin HarrisYes 7c · No 97c
5%Luke CombsYes 5c · No 96c
5%KAROL GYes 5c · No 96c
5%BLACKPINKYes 6c · No 97c
5%Alex WarrenYes 5c · No 96c
5%ShaboozeyYes 6c · No 97c
5%J BalvinYes 6c · No 97c
5%OffsetYes 7c · No 98c
5%Daft PunkYes 6c · No 97c
5%QuavoYes 7c · No 98c
5%PinkPantheressYes 7c · No 98c
5%Mariah CareyYes 8c · No 99c
5%Justin TimberlakeYes 6c · No 97c
5%The Kid LAROIYes 6c · No 97c
5%Linkin ParkYes 7c · No 98c
5%Doja CatYes 6c · No 97c
5%YoungBoy Never Broke AgainYes 5c · No 97c
4%Swae LeeYes 5c · No 97c
4%Anuel AAYes 5c · No 97c
4%OzunaYes 5c · No 97c
4%PARTYNEXTDOORYes 6c · No 98c
4%TygaYes 5c · No 97c
4%David GuettaYes 7c · No 99c
4%Jason DeruloYes 7c · No 99c
4%Fall Out BoyYes 6c · No 98c
4%USHERYes 6c · No 98c
4%Childish GambinoYes 5c · No 97c
4%Lil YachtyYes 5c · No 97c
4%Charli xcxYes 5c · No 98c
4%Phoebe BridgersYes 5c · No 98c
4%Dua LipaYes 4c · No 97c
4%Fred again..Yes 5c · No 98c
4%Bebe RexhaYes 7c
4%MigosYes 6c · No 99c
4%21 SavageYes 6c · No 99c
4%Daniel CaesarYes 6c · No 99c
4%KhalidYes 6c · No 99c
4%Big SeanYes 6c · No 99c
4%Charlie PuthYes 4c · No 98c
3%2 ChainzYes 5c · No 99c
3%Selena GomezYes 5c · No 99c
3%Lil Nas XYes 5c · No 99c
3%Ed SheeranYes 5c · No 99c
3%LogicYes 5c · No 99c
3%Kali UchisYes 4c · No 98c
3%SiaYes 5c · No 99c
3%Trippie ReddYes 5c · No 99c
3%Kacey MusgravesYes 5c · No 99c
3%Addison RaeYes 5c · No 99c
3%Roddy RicchYes 5c · No 99c
3%Maroon 5Yes 5c · No 99c
3%Ice SpiceYes 5c · No 99c
3%John MayerYes 5c · No 99c
3%Chris BrownYes 4c · No 99c
3%Lewis CapaldiYes 4c · No 99c
3%Polo GYes 3c · No 98c
3%CamiloYes 5c
3%Kid CudiYes 4c · No 99c
3%Billie EilishYes 3c · No 99c
2%Nicki MinajYes 3c · No 99c
2%Sam SmithYes 4c
2%Victoria MonetYes 4c
2%DahiYes 4c
2%TylaYes 2c · No 99c
2%Post MaloneYes 42c · No 83c
No quoteEach outcome is its own Kalshi market and more than one can settle Yes. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Lil Baby.
Kalshi’s ruleLil Baby
If Lil Baby has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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