How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026-27 season?
The 50% line sits between Above 14,000,000 (74%) and Above 14,250,000 (49%), from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
Above 13,500,000Yes 91c · No 10c
91%Above 13,750,000Yes 86c · No 15c
86%Above 14,000,000Yes 74c · No 27c
74%Above 14,250,000Yes 51c · No 53c
49%Above 14,500,000Yes 34c · No 67c
34%Above 14,600,000Yes 25c · No 76c
25%Above 14,700,000Yes 19c · No 83c
18%Above 14,800,000Yes 9c · No 94c
8%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for Above 14,250,000.
Kalshi’s ruleAbove 14,250,000
If the number of people who enter Broadway performances in New York City during The 2026-27 Broadway season is above 14250000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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