Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026

Ciryl Gane leads at 69%, followed by Josh Hokit at 32% and Alex Pereira at <1%, from Kalshi’s prices.

Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.

Chance of each outcomeChance

Ciryl GaneYes 70c · No 32c

69%

Josh HokitYes 33c · No 69c

32%

Alex PereiraYes 1c

<1%

Tom AspinallYes 1c

<1%

Alexander VolkovYes 1c

<1%

Jon JonesYes 1c

<1%

Sergei PavlovichYes 1c

<1%

VacantYes 1c

<1%

Waldo Cortes AcostaYes 1c

<1%

Jailton AlmeidaYes 1c

<1%

Show 2 more outcomes

Marcin TyburaYes 1c

<1%

Curtis BlaydesYes 1c

<1%

Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.

What settles it.

Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Ciryl Gane.

Kalshi’s ruleCiryl Gane

If Ciryl Gane is the UFC Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.