Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027
Jeremiah Smith leads at 36%, followed by Drew Mestemaker at 32% and CJ Carr at 11%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Jeremiah SmithYes 37c · No 65c
36%Drew MestemakerYes 33c · No 69c
32%CJ CarrYes 11c · No 90c
11%Arch ManningYes 7c · No 94c
7%Darian MensahYes 6c · No 95c
6%Trinidad ChamblissYes 5c · No 97c
4%LaNorris SellersYes 3c · No 98c
3%Jayden MaiavaYes 2c · No 99c
2%Julian SayinYes 2c
1%Dante MooreYes 1c
<1%Show 12 more outcomes
Dylan StewartYes 1c
<1%Sam LeavittYes 1c
<1%John MateerYes 1c
<1%Nico IamaleavaYes 1c
<1%Austin SimmonsYes 1c
<1%Cam ColemanYes 1c
<1%Ryan WilliamsYes 1c
<1%DJ LagwayYes 1c
<1%Jordan SeatonYes 1c
<1%Quincy Rhodes Jr.Yes 1c
<1%Leonard MooreYes 1c
<1%Lincoln KienholzYes 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Jeremiah Smith.
Kalshi’s ruleJeremiah Smith
If Jeremiah Smith is selected as the 1st overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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