College Football Playoff Semifinals Qualifiers, 2026-27
Georgia and Miami (FL) lead at 54% each, followed by Notre Dame at 44%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
GeorgiaYes 55c · No 47c
54%Miami (FL)Yes 55c · No 48c
54%Notre DameYes 45c · No 57c
44%Ohio St.Yes 41c · No 64c
39%IndianaYes 39c · No 66c
37%AlabamaYes 30c · No 71c
30%LSUYes 27c · No 74c
27%Ole MissYes 20c · No 83c
19%TexasYes 19c · No 87c
16%UtahYes 18c · No 88c
15%Show 40 more outcomes
BYUYes 17c · No 90c
14%KentuckyYes 15c · No 96c
10%FloridaYes 12c · No 95c
9%TennesseeYes 13c · No 97c
8%Texas TechYes 9c · No 94c
8%SMUYes 11c · No 98c
7%ArizonaYes 11c · No 98c
7%IowaYes 9c · No 99c
5%Oklahoma St.Yes 9c
5%MissouriYes 9c
5%OklahomaYes 8c
4%HoustonYes 8c
4%PittsburghYes 7c
4%AuburnYes 7c
4%Florida St.Yes 7c
4%Virginia TechYes 7c
4%North TexasYes 7c
4%TulaneYes 7c
4%TCUYes 7c
4%North Carolina St.Yes 7c
4%Miami (OH)Yes 7c
4%LouisvilleYes 7c
4%Kansas St.Yes 7c
4%Georgia TechYes 7c
4%CaliforniaYes 7c
4%BaylorYes 7c
4%Arizona St.Yes 7c
4%USCYes 6c
3%South CarolinaYes 4c
2%OregonYes 2c · No 99c
2%Penn St.Yes 2c · No 99c
2%MichiganYes 2c
1%Texas A&MYes 1c
<1%James MadisonYes 1c
<1%WashingtonYes 1c
<1%ArkansasYes 1c
<1%VirginiaYes 1c
<1%ClemsonYes 1c
<1%IllinoisYes 1c
<1%VanderbiltYes 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market and more than one can settle Yes. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Georgia.
Kalshi’s ruleGeorgia
If Georgia qualifies for the College Football Playoff Semifinals in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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