NL Manager of the Year Winner, 2026 season

Pat Murphy leads at 94%, followed by Walt Weiss at 6% and Craig Counsell at <1%, from Kalshi’s prices.

Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.

Chance of each outcomeChance

Pat MurphyYes 94c · No 7c

94%

Walt WeissYes 7c · No 95c

Craig CounsellYes 1c

<1%

Don MattinglyYes 1c

<1%

Clayton McCulloughYes 1c

<1%

Oliver MarmolYes 1c

<1%

Craig StammenYes 1c

<1%

Don KellyYes 1c

<1%

Blake ButeraYes 1c

<1%

Torey LovulloYes 1c

<1%

Show 7 more outcomes

Dave RobertsYes 1c

<1%

Terry FranconaYes 1c

<1%

Rob ThomsonYes 1c

<1%

Carlos MendozaYes 1c

<1%

Tony VitelloYes 1c

<1%

Warren SchaefferYes 1c

<1%

Tie/Co-WinnersYes 1c

<1%

Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.

What settles it.

Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Pat Murphy.

Kalshi’s rulePat Murphy

If Pat Murphy wins the Pro Baseball National League Manager of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.