Oscar Winner: Best Picture in 2027
The Odyssey leads at 56%, followed by You Can See Everything (Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim) at 19% and The Black Ball (Javier Calvo, Javier Ambrossi) at 16%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
The OdysseyYes 56c · No 45c
56%You Can See Everything (Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim)Yes 19c · No 82c
19%The Black Ball (Javier Calvo, Javier Ambrossi)Yes 16c · No 85c
16%Dune: Part ThreeYes 9c · No 92c
9%DiggerYes 2c · No 99c
2%Wild Horse NineYes 2c · No 99c
2%ArtificialYes 2c · No 99c
2%Project Hail MaryYes 1c
<1%Avengers: DoomsdayYes 1c
<1%The Debut (Jesse Eisenberg)Yes 1c
<1%Show 31 more outcomes
ObsessionYes 1c
<1%The Social ReckoningYes 1c
<1%FjordYes 1c
<1%JosephineYes 1c
<1%MichaelYes 1c
<1%BehemothYes 1c
<1%ElsinoreYes 1c
<1%The Adventures of Cliff BoothYes 1c
<1%Paper TigerYes 1c
<1%Disclosure DayYes 1c
<1%TieYes 1c
<1%Club Kid (Jordan Firstman)Yes 1c
<1%The Invite (Olivia Wilde)Yes 1c
<1%Cry to HeavenYes 1c
<1%MinotaurYes 1c
<1%Sense and SensibilityYes 1c
<1%All of a SuddenYes 1c
<1%WerwulfYes 1c
<1%PrimetimeYes 1c
<1%1949 / Fatherland (Paweł Pawlikowski)Yes 1c
<1%The Entertainment System Is DownYes 1c
<1%InkYes 1c
<1%Narnia: The Magician's NephewYes 1c
<1%HopeYes 1c
<1%Being Heumann (Sian Heder)Yes 1c
<1%The DramaYes 1c
<1%The Death of Robin HoodYes 1c
<1%I Love BoostersYes 1c
<1%Tender Loving CareYes 1c
<1%Jack of SpadesYes 1c
<1%Parallel TalesYes 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for The Odyssey.
Kalshi’s ruleThe Odyssey
If The Odyssey has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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