Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
The 50% line sits between Above 630 (83%) and Above 640 (44%), from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
Above 560Yes 97c · No 4c
97%Above 580Yes 96c · No 5c
96%Above 600Yes 96c · No 5c
96%Above 620Yes 92c · No 9c
92%Above 630Yes 83c · No 18c
83%Above 640Yes 44c · No 57c
44%Above 650Yes 17c · No 84c
17%Above 660Yes 9c · No 92c
9%Above 680Yes 3c · No 98c
3%Above 700Yes 2c · No 99c
2%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for Above 640.
Kalshi’s ruleAbove 640
If Boeing Company (The) reports Above 640 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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