Gold price at year end, December 31, 2026
No strike crosses 50%. The closest is $4,300 or above at 28%, from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
$4,300 or aboveYes 28c · No 73c
28%$4,400 or aboveYes 18c · No 87c
16%$4,500 or aboveYes 16c · No 88c
14%$4,600 or aboveYes 13c · No 90c
12%$4,700 or aboveYes 13c · No 94c
10%$4,800 or aboveYes 13c · No 93c
10%$4,900 or aboveYes 11c · No 96c
8%$5,000 or aboveYes 7c · No 96c
6%$5,100 or aboveYes 10c · No 96c
7%$5,200 or aboveYes 7c · No 98c
5%$5,300 or aboveYes 7c · No 97c
5%$5,400 or aboveYes 6c · No 98c
4%$5,500 or aboveYes 3c · No 98c
3%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for $4,300 or above.
Kalshi’s rule$4,300 or above
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4300 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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