How low will BTC get in October?
No strike crosses 50%. The closest is Below $75,000 at 17%, from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
Below $62,500Yes 1c
<1%Below $65,000Yes 2c
1%Below $67,500Yes 2c · No 99c
2%Below $70,000Yes 4c · No 98c
3%Below $72,500Yes 6c · No 95c
6%Below $75,000Yes 20c · No 86c
17%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for Below $75,000.
Kalshi’s ruleBelow $75,000
If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $75000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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