Oscar nominees: Best Picture in 2027
The Odyssey leads at 98%, followed by The Black Ball (Javier Calvo, Javier Ambrossi) at 95% and Wild Horse Nine at 87%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
The OdysseyYes 99c · No 3c
98%The Black Ball (Javier Calvo, Javier Ambrossi)Yes 95c · No 6c
95%Wild Horse NineYes 88c · No 14c
87%Dune: Part ThreeYes 83c · No 20c
82%You Can See Everything (Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim)Yes 79c · No 22c
79%Project Hail MaryYes 74c · No 27c
74%The DebutYes 73c · No 28c
73%The Invite (Olivia Wilde)Yes 63c · No 38c
63%ArtificialYes 57c · No 45c
56%I Play RockyYes 56c · No 47c
55%Show 43 more outcomes
All of a SuddenYes 38c · No 64c
37%Obsession (Curry Barker)Yes 33c · No 69c
32%Elsinore (Simon Stone)Yes 34c · No 70c
32%FjordYes 28c · No 73c
28%WildwoodYes 27c · No 77c
25%DiggerYes 25c · No 78c
24%Club Kid (Jordan Firstman)Yes 25c · No 80c
23%Being HeumannYes 23c · No 84c
20%The Adventures of Cliff BoothYes 20c · No 83c
19%Possible LoveYes 19c · No 83c
18%BehemothYes 18c · No 88c
15%MichaelYes 11c · No 90c
11%JosephineYes 11c · No 91c
10%InkYes 9c · No 93c
8%Primetime (Lance Oppenheim)Yes 11c · No 97c
7%Saturn ReturnYes 7c · No 96c
6%Sense and SensibilityYes 7c · No 96c
6%Paper Tiger (James Gray)Yes 6c · No 96c
5%1949 / Fatherland (Paweł Pawlikowski)Yes 7c · No 97c
5%Rose (Markus Schleinzer)Yes 8c · No 98c
5%Misty Green (Chris Rock)Yes 7c · No 99c
4%The Whisper Man (James Ashcroft)Yes 5c · No 98c
4%Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother (Bassam Tariq)Yes 5c · No 99c
3%Parallel TalesYes 5c · No 99c
3%The UprisingYes 5c · No 99c
3%ClarissaYes 5c · No 99c
3%Disclosure DayYes 3c · No 98c
3%Minotaur (Andrey Zvyagintsev)Yes 4c · No 99c
3%WerwulfYes 3c · No 98c
3%BackroomsYes 5c
3%The DramaYes 4c · No 99c
3%Avengers: DoomsdayYes 4c
2%Spider-Man: Brand New DayYes 3c · No 99c
2%Cry to HeavenYes 3c · No 99c
2%The Entertainment System Is DownYes 3c · No 99c
2%Hope (Na-Hong_jin)Yes 3c · No 99c
2%The Death of Robin HoodYes 3c · No 99c
2%Jack of SpadesYes 2c · No 99c
2%I Love BoostersYes 2c · No 99c
2%TonyYes 2c · No 99c
2%Bucking FastardYes 2c · No 99c
2%Narnia: The Magician's NephewYes 2c
1%The Social ReckoningYes 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market and more than one can settle Yes. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for The Odyssey.
Kalshi’s ruleThe Odyssey
If The Odyssey has been nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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