Oscar Winner: Best Actor in 2027
John Malkovich (Wild Horse Nine) leads at 42%, followed by Andrew Scott (Pressure) at 18% and Matt Damon (The Odyssey) at 17%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
John Malkovich (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 42c · No 59c
42%Andrew Scott (Pressure)Yes 18c · No 83c
18%Matt Damon (The Odyssey)Yes 17c · No 84c
17%Tom Cruise (Digger)Yes 10c · No 91c
10%Anthony Ippolito (I Play Rocky)Yes 4c · No 97c
4%Robert Pattison (Primetime)Yes 3c · No 98c
3%Timothée Chalamet (Dune: Part Three)Yes 3c · No 98c
3%Ryan Gosling (Project Hail Mary)Yes 2c · No 99c
2%Jafar Jackson (Michael)Yes 2c
1%Jeremy Strong (The Social Reckoning)Yes 1c
<1%Show 15 more outcomes
Pedro Pascal (Avengers: Doomsday)Yes 1c
<1%TieYes 1c
<1%Brad Pitt (The Adventures of Cliff Booth)Yes 1c
<1%Sebastian Stan (Fjord)Yes 1c
<1%Tom Holland (Spider-Man: Brand New Day)Yes 1c
<1%Adam Driver (Paper Tiger)Yes 1c
<1%Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon)Yes 1c
<1%Josh O'Connor (Jack of Spades)Yes 1c
<1%Channing Tatum (Josephine)Yes 1c
<1%Yura Borisov (Artificial)Yes 1c
<1%Keanu Reeves (The Entertainment System Is Down)Yes 1c
<1%Sacha Baron Cohen (Ladies First)Yes 1c
<1%Charles Melton (Saturn Return)Yes 1c
<1%Hanns Zischler (Fatherland)Yes 1c
<1%Jacob Tremblay (Unabomber)Yes 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for John Malkovich (Wild Horse Nine).
Kalshi’s ruleJohn Malkovich (Wild Horse Nine)
If John Malkovich has won Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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