Who will win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Troy Jackson leads at 67%, followed by Susan Collins at 33% and Graham Platner at <1%, from Kalshi’s prices.

Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.

Chance of each outcomeChance

Troy JacksonYes 67c · No 34c

67%

Susan CollinsYes 33c · No 68c

33%

Graham PlatnerYes under 1c

<1%

Nirav ShahYes under 1c

<1%

Shenna BellowsYes under 1c

<1%

Dan KlebanYes under 1c

<1%

Janet MillsYes under 1c

<1%

Jared GoldenYes under 1c

<1%

Valli GeigerYes under 1c

<1%

Patrick DempseyYes under 1c

<1%

Show 5 more outcomes

Angus King IIIYes under 1c

<1%

Sara GideonYes under 1c

<1%

Mattie DaughtreyYes under 1c

<1%

Brian BryantYes under 1c

<1%

Stephen KingYes under 1c

<1%

Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.

What settles it.

Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Troy Jackson.

Kalshi’s ruleTroy Jackson

If Troy Jackson wins the 2026 Maine Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.