Maine-Texas Senate Combo, Nov 3, 2026
James Talarico and Troy Jackson leads at 58%, followed by James Talarico and Susan Collins at 20% and Ken Paxton and Susan Collins at 17%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
James Talarico and Troy JacksonYes 58c · No 43c
58%James Talarico and Susan CollinsYes 20c · No 81c
20%Ken Paxton and Susan CollinsYes 18c · No 84c
17%Ken Paxton and Troy JacksonYes 10c · No 91c
10%James Talarico and Graham PlatnerYes 1c
<1%Ken Paxton and Graham PlatnerYes 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for James Talarico and Troy Jackson.
Kalshi’s ruleJames Talarico and Troy Jackson
If ALL of the following occur: Texas Senate: James Talarico wins, Maine Senate: Troy Jackson wins, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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