Election markets on Kalshi.
Party control of Congress, Senate, House and governor races, and the 2028 nominations. Under their contract terms, many race and control markets can settle once named media outlets call the result. Others settle on certification or on who is sworn in. Each market's rules say which.
123 events
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
The 2026 midterms, as Kalshi prices themControl of Congress and every Senate, governor and House race on one page, with when each market pays.
Most traded.
Ranked by contracts traded. The figure on the right is the leading outcome’s chance, read from Kalshi’s prices.
2028 Democratic presidential nominee52 outcomessettles Nov 7, 2028251.7M tradedGavin Newsom18%Who will control the House in 2026?2 outcomessettles Feb 1, 202784.6M tradedDemocratic Party94%2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner34 outcomessettles Jan 21, 202978.0M tradedJ.D. Vance20%Balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms4 outcomessettles Feb 1, 202774.7M tradedD-House, D-Senate69%2028 Republican presidential nominee45 outcomessettles Nov 7, 202872.4M tradedJ.D. Vance36%Which party will win the Texas Senate race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Jan 4, 202756.2M tradedDemocratic Party72%Who will win the Los Angeles Mayor race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Jun 2, 202745.5M tradedKaren Bass59%Will the Citrini scenario happen before July 2028?Yes or Nosettles Jul 1, 202826.0M tradedYes18%Who will win the California Governor race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Jan 6, 202725.4M tradedXavier Becerra97%Who will control the Senate in 2026?2 outcomessettles Feb 1, 202723.0M tradedDemocratic Party71%Which party will win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Jan 4, 202712.4M tradedAbdul El-Sayed76%Which party will win the Maine Senate race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Jan 4, 202712.4M tradedDemocratic Party68%Which party will win the Texas Governor race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Jan 20, 202711.2M tradedRepublican Party63%How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 midterms?10 outcomessettles Feb 1, 20279.4M tradedAbove 5249%Which party will win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Dec 16, 20269.3M tradedDemocratic Party71%Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election19 outcomessettles Oct 27, 20278.4M tradedNo one54%Which party will win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Jan 4, 20277.8M tradedRepublican Party56%Which party will win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Jan 4, 20277.5M tradedRepublican Party73%Which party will win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Jan 4, 20277.0M tradedDemocratic Party53%Which party will win the Florida Governor race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Jan 8, 20276.9M tradedRepublican Party69%
Every other Elections event.
With the date each one is expected to settle.
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the 2026 midterms?Feb 1, 2027Which party will win the Ohio Governor race in 2026?Jan 14, 2027Which party will win the New York Governor race in 2026?Jan 1, 2027Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?Dec 31, 2026How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the 2026 midterms?Feb 1, 2027Which party will win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027How many House seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 midterms?Feb 1, 2027Which party will win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Which party will win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Which leaders will leave office in 2026?Jan 1, 2027Which party will win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Which party will win the TX-15 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Maine-Texas Senate Combo, Nov 3, 2026Nov 3, 20272028 Democratic VP nomineeNov 7, 2028Who will win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Nov 3, 2026Which party will win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Which party will win the California Governor race in 2026?Jan 7, 2027Which party will win the Massachusetts Governor race in 2026?Jan 5, 2027Which party will win the Georgia Governor race in 2026?Jan 14, 2027Who will win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Dec 1, 2026Which party will win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Dec 1, 2026Which party will win the Iowa Governor race in 2026?Jan 14, 2027Which party will win the Nevada Governor race in 2026?Jan 2, 2027Which party will win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Which states will redistrict before the midterms?Nov 1, 2026Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass in 2026?Dec 1, 2026Which party will win the Wisconsin Governor race in 2026?Jan 7, 2027Closest Senate race in 2026Jan 3, 2027Who will win the MN-05 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 20272028 Republican VP nomineeNov 7, 2028Texas Senate race 2026: Democratic margin of victoryNov 3, 2027Who will win the New York Attorney General race in 2026?Jan 2, 2027Which party will win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Texas Senate race 2026: Republican margin of victoryNov 3, 2027Which party will win the Arizona Governor race in 2026?Jan 2, 2027Next French presidential election winner in 2027May 31, 2027Democratic Senate seats after the 2026 midterms, higher countsFeb 1, 2027Which party will win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Which party will win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Which party will win the Pennsylvania Governor race in 2026?Jan 17, 2027Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?Jan 1, 2028Who will win the Alaska Governor race in 2026?Dec 3, 2026Who will win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Nov 10, 2026Michigan Senate race 2026: Democratic margin of victoryNov 3, 2027Which party will win the MT-01 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Who will win the VA-05 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Who will win the TX-23 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Who will win the FL-25 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Which party will win the Vermont Governor race in 2026?Jan 5, 2027Which party will win the Minnesota Governor race in 2026?Jan 7, 2027Texas Governor-Senate combo, Nov 3, 2026Nov 3, 2027Who will win the NC-03 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Which party will win the NY-17 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Maine Senate Exact Outcome before Jan 2027Jan 1, 2027Who will win the NC-11 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 20272028 Presidential Election winner (party)Jan 21, 2029Which party will win the Michigan Governor race in 2026?Jan 1, 2027Texas Senate: Exact outcome before Jan 2027Jan 3, 2028Which party will win the NC-01 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Which party will win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Which party will win the Oregon Governor race in 2026?Jan 9, 2027Taipei mayoral election winner in 2026Feb 26, 2027Will the midterms happen on time (Nov 3, 2026)?Nov 10, 2026Which party will win the Tennessee Governor race in 2026?Jan 19, 2027Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races on Nov 3, 2026?Nov 10, 2026Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Jan 1, 2028Which party will win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Who will win the FL-14 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Who will win the AL-02 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 20272028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and SenateFeb 1, 2029Which party will win the Oklahoma Governor race in 2026?Jan 14, 2027Which party will win the IA-01 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Which party will win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Which party will win the VA-01 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Texas Governor margin of victoryNov 3, 2027Which party will win the PA-01 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Which party will win the Illinois Governor race in 2026?Jan 14, 2027Who will win the MN-01 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Who will win the NC-09 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Which party will win the PA-08 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?Feb 8, 2027Which party will win the PA-07 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Georgia Senate margin of victory on November 3, 2026Nov 3, 2027Which party will win the Colorado Governor race in 2026?Jan 8, 2027Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term before 2029?Jan 21, 2029Maine Senate race 2026: Democratic margin of victoryNov 3, 2027Who will win the TX-35 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Which party will win the New Hampshire Governor race in 2026?Jan 9, 20272028 Presidential matchupNov 7, 2028Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?Apr 1, 2027Will California's billionaire tax make the November 2026 ballot?Nov 5, 2026Who will win the CA-11 House race in 2026?Dec 1, 2026Which party will win the VA-02 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Who will win the OH-07 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Will Nancy Pelosi resign before the 2026 midterms?Nov 3, 2026Who will win the NY-01 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Which party will win the NY-03 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027Trump's bad year in 2026Dec 31, 2027Which party will win the next UK general election?Aug 31, 2029Who will win the Providence Mayor race in 2026?Dec 1, 2026Which party will win the TX-28 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027How many Virginia House seats will Democrats win in 2026?Nov 3, 2027Which party will win the NJ-07 House race in 2026?Jan 4, 2027
Learn the mechanics.
01
How Kalshi settles a market
Kalshi settles each market on its written rules, a named source and a set time. Covers payout timing, ties, fair price, the death rule and disputes.
13 min read02How Kalshi election markets settle
Kalshi can settle a US election market once 4 of 8 news desks call it. If not, it waits for the swearing-in, February 1 or certified results.
13 min read03Kalshi odds explained
A Kalshi price in cents is the market's implied chance. How to read YES and NO prices, convert cents to American and decimal odds, and add the fee.
14 min read