Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?
Democratic Party leads at 83%, followed by Republican Party at 13% and Tie at 6%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Democratic PartyYes 83c · No 18c
83%Republican PartyYes 13c · No 88c
13%TieYes 6c · No 94c
6%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Democratic Party.
Kalshi’s ruleDemocratic Party
If Democrats hold more governorships than Republicans after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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