Who will win the California Governor race in 2026?
Xavier Becerra is at 97% and Steve Hilton at 3%, from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance to win, from Kalshi’s prices
Xavier BecerraYes costs 97c97%
Steve HiltonYes costs 3c3%
Each side is its own Kalshi market. Each chance is that market’s midpoint, so the two can add up to slightly more or less than 100%.
What settles it.
Each side has its own market. Both use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Xavier Becerra.
Kalshi’s ruleXavier Becerra
If Xavier Becerra is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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