Who will win the Los Angeles Mayor race in 2026?
Karen Bass is at 59% and Nithya Raman at 41%, from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance to win, from Kalshi’s prices
Karen BassYes costs 59c59%
Nithya RamanYes costs 41c41%
Each side is its own Kalshi market. Each chance is that market’s midpoint, so the two can add up to slightly more or less than 100%.
What settles it.
Each side has its own market. Both use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Karen Bass.
Kalshi’s ruleKaren Bass
If Karen Bass wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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