2028 Republican presidential nominee
J.D. Vance leads at 36%, followed by Marco Rubio at 21% and Ron DeSantis at 5%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
J.D. VanceYes 36c · No 65c
36%Marco RubioYes 21c · No 80c
21%Ron DeSantisYes 5c · No 95c
5%Tucker CarlsonYes 3c · No 97c
3%Donald J. Trump Jr.Yes 3c · No 97c
3%Brian KempYes 3c · No 98c
3%Donald J. TrumpYes 2c · No 98c
2%Ted CruzYes 2c · No 98c
2%Marjorie Taylor GreeneYes 1c · No 99c
1%Thomas MassieYes 1c · No 99c
1%Show 35 more outcomes
Ivanka TrumpYes 1c · No 99c
1%Byron DonaldsYes 1c · No 99c
1%Sarah Huckabee SandersYes 1c · No 99c
1%Glenn YoungkinYes 1c · No 99c
1%Josh HawleyYes 1c
<1%Pete HegsethYes 1c
<1%Spencer PrattYes 1c
<1%John KennedyYes 1c
<1%Jeff BezosYes 1c
<1%Candace OwensYes 1c
<1%Chris ChristieYes 1c
<1%Lara TrumpYes 1c
<1%Tim ScottYes 1c
<1%Doug BurgumYes 1c
<1%Chris SununuYes 1c
<1%Wesley HuntYes 1c
<1%Ben ShapiroYes 1c
<1%Nikki HaleyYes under 1c
<1%Vivek RamaswamyYes under 1c
<1%Tulsi GabbardYes under 1c
<1%Elon MuskYes under 1c
<1%Eric TrumpYes under 1c
<1%Rand PaulYes under 1c
<1%Nicki MinajYes under 1c
<1%Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Yes under 1c
<1%Mike PenceYes under 1c
<1%Greg AbbottYes under 1c
<1%Katie BrittYes under 1c
<1%Erika KirkYes under 1c
<1%Matt GaetzYes under 1c
<1%Steve BannonYes under 1c
<1%Tom CottonYes under 1c
<1%Elise StefanikYes under 1c
<1%Kristi NoemYes under 1c
<1%John ThuneYes under 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for J.D. Vance.
Kalshi’s ruleJ.D. Vance
If J.D. Vance wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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