2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner
J.D. Vance leads at 20%, followed by Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff at 13% each, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
J.D. VanceYes 20c · No 81c
20%Gavin NewsomYes 13c · No 88c
13%Jon OssoffYes 13c · No 88c
13%Marco RubioYes 12c · No 89c
12%Alexandria Ocasio-CortezYes 10c · No 90c
10%Kamala HarrisYes 4c · No 96c
4%Ron DeSantisYes 3c · No 97c
3%Pete ButtigiegYes 3c · No 97c
3%Donald J. TrumpYes 3c · No 98c
3%James TalaricoYes 3c · No 98c
3%Show 24 more outcomes
Mark KellyYes 3c · No 98c
3%Andy BeshearYes 3c · No 98c
3%J.B. PritzkerYes 2c · No 98c
2%Josh ShapiroYes 2c · No 98c
2%Rahm EmanuelYes 2c · No 99c
2%Tucker CarlsonYes 1c · No 99c
1%Donald J. Trump Jr.Yes 1c · No 99c
1%Wes MooreYes 1c · No 99c
1%Glenn YoungkinYes 1c · No 99c
1%Gretchen WhitmerYes 1c
<1%Tulsi GabbardYes 1c
<1%Jamie DimonYes 1c
<1%Thomas MassieYes 1c
<1%Nikki HaleyYes 1c
<1%Hunter BidenYes 1c
<1%Ro KhannaYes 1c
<1%Brian KempYes 1c
<1%Ted CruzYes 1c
<1%Roy CooperYes 1c
<1%Doug BurgumYes 1c
<1%Stephen A. SmithYes under 1c
<1%Vivek RamaswamyYes under 1c
<1%Tim WalzYes under 1c
<1%Greg AbbottYes under 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for J.D. Vance.
Kalshi’s ruleJ.D. Vance
If J.D. Vance is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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