2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Gavin Newsom leads at 18%, followed by Jon Ossoff at 16% and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 14%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Gavin NewsomYes 18c · No 83c
18%Jon OssoffYes 16c · No 85c
16%Alexandria Ocasio-CortezYes 14c · No 87c
14%Kamala HarrisYes 7c · No 93c
7%Andy BeshearYes 5c · No 95c
5%Josh ShapiroYes 5c · No 95c
5%Pete ButtigiegYes 5c · No 96c
5%Mark KellyYes 4c · No 96c
4%James TalaricoYes 4c · No 97c
4%Rahm EmanuelYes 3c · No 97c
3%Show 42 more outcomes
J.B. PritzkerYes 3c · No 97c
3%Michelle ObamaYes 2c · No 98c
2%Raphael WarnockYes 2c · No 98c
2%Wes MooreYes 2c · No 98c
2%Ro KhannaYes 2c · No 99c
2%Mark CubanYes 1c · No 99c
1%Gretchen WhitmerYes 1c · No 99c
1%Cory BookerYes 1c · No 99c
1%Ruben GallegoYes 1c · No 99c
1%Stephen A. SmithYes 1c
<1%Bernie SandersYes 1c
<1%Abdul El-SayedYes 1c
<1%Chris MurphyYes 1c
<1%Roy CooperYes 1c
<1%Chris Van HollenYes 1c
<1%Mitch LandrieuYes 1c
<1%Hakeem JeffriesYes 1c
<1%Shawn FainYes 1c
<1%Mary PeltolaYes 1c
<1%David JollyYes 1c
<1%Sherrod BrownYes 1c
<1%Zohran MamdaniYes under 1c
<1%Hunter BidenYes under 1c
<1%Barack ObamaYes under 1c
<1%Andrew YangYes under 1c
<1%Jon StewartYes under 1c
<1%John FettermanYes under 1c
<1%Graham PlatnerYes under 1c
<1%Liz CheneyYes under 1c
<1%Hillary ClintonYes under 1c
<1%Elissa SlotkinYes under 1c
<1%Jamie DimonYes under 1c
<1%Tim WalzYes under 1c
<1%Amy KlobucharYes under 1c
<1%LeBron JamesYes under 1c
<1%Dwayne JohnsonYes under 1c
<1%Jared PolisYes under 1c
<1%Gina RaimondoYes under 1c
<1%Phil MurphyYes under 1c
<1%Jasmine CrockettYes under 1c
<1%Beto O'RourkeYes under 1c
<1%Elizabeth WarrenYes under 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Gavin Newsom.
Kalshi’s ruleGavin Newsom
If Gavin Newsom wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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