Which party will win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Chris Pappas is at 92% and Republican Party at 8%, from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance to win, from Kalshi’s prices
Chris PappasYes costs 92c92%
Republican PartyYes costs 8c8%
Each side is its own Kalshi market. Each chance is that market’s midpoint, so the two can add up to slightly more or less than 100%.
What settles it.
Each side has its own market. Both use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Chris Pappas.
Kalshi’s ruleChris Pappas
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of New Hampshire for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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