Which party will win the Michigan Governor race in 2026?
Democratic Party leads at 94%, followed by Republican Party at 6% and Mike Duggan at <1%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Democratic PartyYes 94c · No 6c
94%Republican PartyYes 6c · No 94c
6%Mike DugganYes under 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Democratic Party.
Kalshi’s ruleDemocratic Party
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Michigan pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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