Which party will win the Tennessee Governor race in 2026?
Republican Party leads at 94%, followed by Democratic Party at 6% and David Hatley (Independent) at 1%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Republican PartyYes 94c · No 6c
94%Democratic PartyYes 6c · No 94c
6%David Hatley (Independent)Yes 2c
1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Republican Party.
Kalshi’s ruleRepublican Party
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Tennessee pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
More election markets.
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