Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races on Nov 3, 2026?

Kalshi's prices put the chance of Yes at 62%.

Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.

Chance of Yes, from Kalshi’s pricesYes or No market
62%
Yes costs
62c
No costs
39c
A Yes contract pays $1 if the market settles Yes and nothing if it settles No. The chance is the midpoint of the best bid and offer in Kalshi’s public order book.

What settles it.

This market has one rule, shown below.

Kalshi’s ruleYes or No
If Democrats win the 2026 Senate elections in ALL of the following states: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
The 2026 midterms, as Kalshi prices themControl of Congress and every Senate, governor and House race on one page, with when each market pays.

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EVDESK is research and trading software. It is not a broker, not an exchange, not a fund and not investment advice. Prices and chances on this page are read from Kalshi’s public market data at the time shown and move constantly. Prediction-market trading can lose money. See the Risk Disclosure. Not affiliated with Kalshi, Inc.