Taipei mayoral election winner in 2026
Chiang Wan-an leads at 69%, followed by Shen Bo-yang at 34% and Hsiao Wen-kan at <1%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Chiang Wan-anYes 69c · No 32c
69%Shen Bo-yangYes 34c · No 67c
34%Hsiao Wen-kanYes 1c
<1%Kuo HsiYes 1c
<1%Tang Hsin-minYes 1c
<1%Lin Chih-chengYes 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Chiang Wan-an.
Kalshi’s ruleChiang Wan-an
If Chiang Wan-an wins the 2026 Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
More election markets.
Will the midterms happen on time (Nov 3, 2026)?Yes or Nosettles Nov 10, 2026544,149 tradedYes94%Which party will win the Oregon Governor race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Jan 9, 2027563,283 tradedDemocratic Party80%Which party will win the Tennessee Governor race in 2026?3 outcomessettles Jan 19, 2027538,872 tradedRepublican Party94%Which party will win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?3 outcomessettles Jan 4, 2027576,366 tradedRepublican Party95%Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races on Nov 3, 2026?Yes or Nosettles Nov 10, 2026534,734 tradedYes62%Which party will win the NC-01 House race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Jan 4, 2027576,621 tradedDemocratic Party86%