2028 Presidential Election winner (party)
Democratic Party is at 61% and Republican Party at 41%, from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance to win, from Kalshi’s prices
Democratic PartyYes costs 61c61%
Republican PartyYes costs 41c41%
Each side is its own Kalshi market. Each chance is that market’s midpoint, so the two can add up to slightly more or less than 100%.
What settles it.
Each side has its own market. Both use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Democratic Party.
Kalshi’s ruleDemocratic Party
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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