Maine Senate Exact Outcome before Jan 2027
Graham Platner wins is at 65% and Republican defeats Graham Platner at 35%, from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance to win, from Kalshi’s prices
Graham Platner winsYes costs 65c65%
Republican defeats Graham PlatnerYes costs 36c35%
Each side is its own Kalshi market. Each chance is that market’s midpoint, so the two can add up to slightly more or less than 100%.
What settles it.
Each side has its own market. Both use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Graham Platner wins.
Kalshi’s ruleGraham Platner wins
If ALL of the following occur before Jan 2027: Dem Nominee: Graham Platner, General Election Winner: Democrat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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