How many Virginia House seats will Democrats win in 2026?
9 leads at 40%, followed by 8 at 33% and 7 at 22%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
9Yes 40c · No 61c
40%8Yes 34c · No 69c
33%7Yes 23c · No 79c
22%6Yes 6c · No 98c
4%10Yes 2c
1%Below 6Yes 1c
<1%11Yes under 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for 9.
Kalshi’s rule9
If the Democratic party has won exactly 9 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Virginia, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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