Which party will win the New York Governor race in 2026?
Democratic Party is at 96% and Republican Party at 4%, from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance to win, from Kalshi’s prices
Democratic PartyYes costs 96c96%
Republican PartyYes costs 4c4%
Each side is its own Kalshi market. Each chance is that market’s midpoint, so the two can add up to slightly more or less than 100%.
What settles it.
Each side has its own market. Both use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Democratic Party.
Kalshi’s ruleDemocratic Party
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of New York pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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