Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro leads at 81%, followed by Delcy Rodríguez at 17% and María Corina Machado at 4%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Nicolás MaduroYes 82c · No 20c
81%Delcy RodríguezYes 18c · No 85c
17%María Corina MachadoYes 5c · No 97c
4%Donald TrumpYes 2c · No 98c
2%Marco RubioYes 2c · No 98c
2%Vladimir Padrino LópezYes 3c
2%Edmundo GonzálezYes 1c · No 99c
1%Pete HegsethYes 1c · No 99c
1%Jorge RodríguezYes 2c
1%Dinorah FigueraYes 2c
1%Show 8 more outcomes
Frank DonovanYes 1c
<1%Diosdado Cabello RondónYes 1c
<1%Richard GrenellYes 1c
<1%Juan GuaidóYes 1c
<1%Miguel Rodríguez TorresYes 1c
<1%Dan CaineYes under 1c
<1%Evan PettusYes under 1c
<1%Stephen MillerYes under 1c
<1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market and more than one can settle Yes. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Nicolás Maduro.
Kalshi’s ruleNicolás Maduro
If Nicolás Maduro officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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