Which party will win the Texas Governor race in 2026?
Republican Party is at 63% and Democratic Party at 38%, from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance to win, from Kalshi’s prices
Republican PartyYes costs 63c63%
Democratic PartyYes costs 38c38%
Each side is its own Kalshi market. Each chance is that market’s midpoint, so the two can add up to slightly more or less than 100%.
What settles it.
Each side has its own market. Both use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Republican Party.
Kalshi’s ruleRepublican Party
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Texas pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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