Who will win the MN-01 House race in 2026?
Republican Party is at 62% and Democratic Party (Democratic (DFL) party) at 39%, from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance to win, from Kalshi’s prices
Republican PartyYes costs 62c62%
Democratic Party (Democratic (DFL) party)Yes costs 39c39%
Each side is its own Kalshi market. Each chance is that market’s midpoint, so the two can add up to slightly more or less than 100%.
What settles it.
Each side has its own market. Both use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Republican Party.
Kalshi’s ruleRepublican Party
If the House member sworn in for MN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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