Democratic Senate seats after the 2026 midterms, higher counts

The likeliest range is Below 53 at 55%, from Kalshi's prices.

Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.

Chance of each rangeChance
Below 53Yes 55c · No 46c
55%
53Yes 12c · No 89c
12%
54Yes 14c · No 87c
14%
55Yes 11c · No 90c
11%
56Yes 7c · No 94c
7%
57Yes 3c · No 98c
3%
Above 57Yes 2c · No 98c
2%
Each range is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the ranges can add up to slightly more or less than 100%.

What settles it.

Every range uses the same rule with its own numbers in it. The rule below is for Below 53.

Kalshi’s ruleBelow 53
If the Democratic party has below 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.

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EVDESK is research and trading software. It is not a broker, not an exchange, not a fund and not investment advice. Prices and chances on this page are read from Kalshi’s public market data at the time shown and move constantly. Prediction-market trading can lose money. See the Risk Disclosure. Not affiliated with Kalshi, Inc.