Who will win the MN-05 House race in 2026?

Democratic Party (Democratic (DFL) party) leads at 97%, followed by Republican Party at 3% and DeVelle Jackson at <1%, from Kalshi’s prices.

Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.

Chance of each outcomeChance
Democratic Party (Democratic (DFL) party)Yes 97c · No 3c
97%
Republican PartyYes 3c · No 97c
3%
DeVelle JacksonYes 1c
<1%
Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.

What settles it.

Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Democratic Party (Democratic (DFL) party).

Kalshi’s ruleDemocratic Party (Democratic (DFL) party)
If the House member sworn in for MN-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
The 2026 midterms, as Kalshi prices themControl of Congress and every Senate, governor and House race on one page, with when each market pays.

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EVDESK is research and trading software. It is not a broker, not an exchange, not a fund and not investment advice. Prices and chances on this page are read from Kalshi’s public market data at the time shown and move constantly. Prediction-market trading can lose money. See the Risk Disclosure. Not affiliated with Kalshi, Inc.