2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate
Democratic Sweep leads at 50%, followed by Republican Sweep at 14% and D-House, R-Senate, D-President at 10%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Democratic SweepYes 51c · No 51c
50%Republican SweepYes 14c · No 87c
14%D-House, R-Senate, D-PresidentYes 10c · No 90c
10%D-House, R-Senate, R-PresidentYes 10c · No 91c
10%R-House, R-Senate, D-PresidentYes 3c · No 97c
3%D-House, D-Senate, R-PresidentYes 3c · No 97c
3%R-House, D-Senate, R-PresidentYes 3c · No 98c
3%R-House, D-Senate, D-PresidentYes 1c · No 99c
1%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the chances can add up to more than 100%.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Democratic Sweep.
Kalshi’s ruleDemocratic Sweep
If the Democratic party wins the House, the Democratic party wins the Senate, and the Democratic party wins the Presidency in the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
More election markets.
Which party will win the Oklahoma Governor race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Jan 14, 2027471,466 tradedRepublican Party90%Who will win the AL-02 House race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Jan 4, 2027475,480 tradedRepublican Party57%Which party will win the IA-01 House race in 2026?3 outcomessettles Jan 4, 2027429,256 tradedDemocratic Party91%Who will win the FL-14 House race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Jan 4, 2027494,424 tradedDemocratic Party72%Which party will win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Jan 4, 2027428,038 tradedRepublican Party95%Which party will win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?2 outcomessettles Jan 4, 2027512,436 tradedRepublican Party97%