How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
No strike crosses 50%. The closest is $115.01 or above at 48%, from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of Yes at each strikeChance
$115.01 or aboveYes 48c · No 53c
48%$120.01 or aboveYes 32c · No 68c
32%$125.01 or aboveYes 24c · No 77c
24%$130.01 or aboveYes 19c · No 81c
19%$135.01 or aboveYes 13c · No 88c
13%$140.01 or aboveYes 14c · No 89c
13%$150.01 or aboveYes 8c · No 93c
8%$160.01 or aboveYes 7c · No 93c
7%$180.01 or aboveYes 4c · No 97c
4%$200.01 or aboveYes 4c · No 97c
4%Each strike is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Strikes run low to high.
What settles it.
Every strike uses the same rule with its own number in it. The rule below is for $115.01 or above.
Kalshi’s rule$115.01 or above
If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $115 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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