When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
Kalshi's prices put Before 2027 at 3% and Before April 2027 at 82%.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance by each dateChance
Before 2027Yes 3c · No 98c
3%Before February 2027Yes 4c · No 97c
4%Before March 2027Yes 16c · No 87c
15%Before April 2027Yes 83c · No 19c
82%Each date is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer. Dates run earliest to latest.
What settles it.
Every date uses the same rule with its own deadline in it. The rule below is for Before April 2027.
Kalshi’s ruleBefore April 2027
If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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