S&P close price end of 2026
The likeliest range is 7,800 to 7,999.99 at 21%, from Kalshi's prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each rangeChance
15 lower ranges, each under 3%
3,999.99 or belowYes 1c
<1%4,000 to 4,199.99Yes 1c
<1%4,200 to 4,399.99Yes 1c
<1%4,400 to 4,599.99Yes 1c
<1%4,600 to 4,799.99Yes 1c
<1%4,800 to 4,999.99Yes 1c
<1%5,000 to 5,199.99Yes 1c
<1%5,200 to 5,399.99Yes 1c
<1%5,400 to 5,599.99Yes 1c
<1%5,600 to 5,799.99Yes 1c
<1%5,800 to 5,999.99Yes 1c
<1%6,000 to 6,199.99Yes 2c
1%6,200 to 6,399.99Yes 2c
1%6,400 to 6,599.99Yes 2c · No 99c
2%6,600 to 6,799.99Yes 2c · No 99c
2%6,800 to 6,999.99Yes 5c · No 97c
4%7,000 to 7,199.99Yes 6c · No 95c
6%7,200 to 7,399.99Yes 7c · No 94c
7%7,400 to 7,599.99Yes 12c · No 89c
12%7,600 to 7,799.99Yes 17c · No 85c
16%7,800 to 7,999.99Yes 21c · No 80c
21%8,000 to 8,199.99Yes 11c · No 90c
11%8,200 to 8,399.99Yes 6c · No 95c
6%4 higher ranges, each under 3%
8,400 to 8,599.99Yes 2c · No 99c
2%8,600 to 8,799.99Yes 1c
<1%8,800 to 9,000Yes 1c
<1%9,000.01 or aboveYes 2c · No 99c
2%Each range is its own Kalshi market. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer, so the ranges can add up to slightly more or less than 100%.
What settles it.
Every range uses the same rule with its own numbers in it. The rule below is for 7,800 to 7,999.99.
Kalshi’s rule7,800 to 7,999.99
If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 7800-7999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
More financial markets.
Nasdaq-100 close price end of 202630 outcomessettles Dec 31, 20265.4M traded29,500 to 29,999.9910%How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?10 outcomessettles Jan 1, 20279.5M traded$115.01 or above48%Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?Yes or Nosettles Jan 1, 20273.6M tradedYes5%Which companies will officially announce an IPO before 2027?27 outcomessettles Jan 1, 20272.1M tradedAnthropic92%When will Apple release the iPhone 18?4 outcomessettles Jan 1, 20271.6M tradedBefore April 202782%Will the S&P finish positive in 2026?Yes or Nosettles Dec 31, 20261.5M tradedYes91%