Oscar nominees: Best Actress in 2027
Julianne Moore leads at 94%, followed by Inde Navarrette (Obsession) at 75% and Sandra Hüller (Rose) at 68%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Julianne MooreYes 96c · No 8c
94%Inde Navarrette (Obsession)Yes 77c · No 27c
75%Sandra Hüller (Rose)Yes 71c · No 35c
68%Olivia Wilde (The Invite)Yes 69c · No 35c
67%Ruth Madeley (Being Heumann)Yes 50c · No 57c
47%Virginie Efira (All of a Sudden)Yes 48c · No 58c
45%Renate Reinsve (Fjord)Yes 35c · No 70c
33%Zendaya (Dune: Part Three)Yes 22c · No 85c
19%Rosalind Eleazar (Misty Green)Yes 16c · No 88c
14%Emily Blunt (Disclosure Day)Yes 15c · No 88c
14%Show 16 more outcomes
Penélope Cruz (The Invite)Yes 13c · No 92c
11%Daisy Edgar-Jones (Sense and Sensibility)Yes 10c · No 94c
8%Anne Hathaway (The Odyssey)Yes 8c · No 94c
7%Kirsten Dunst (The Entertainment System Is Down)Yes 11c · No 99c
6%Joan Collins (The Duchess and I)Yes 11c · No 99c
6%Mikey Madison (The Social Reckoning)Yes 7c · No 96c
6%Laura Linney (Onwards and Sideways)Yes 9c · No 98c
6%Scarlett Johansson (Paper Tiger)Yes 7c · No 97c
5%Dakota Johnson (Verity)Yes 7c · No 97c
5%Cynthia Erivo (Prima Facie)Yes 6c · No 98c
4%Shailene Woodley (UNABOMBER)Yes 7c · No 99c
4%Michelle Williams (A Place in Hell)Yes 5c · No 98c
4%Sophie Okonedo (Clarissa)Yes 7c
4%Lily Gladstone (Lone Wolf)Yes 6c · No 99c
4%Michelle Monaghan (The Whisper Man)Yes 6c · No 99c
4%Natalie Portman (Photograph 51)Yes 6c · No 99c
4%Each outcome is its own Kalshi market and more than one can settle Yes. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Julianne Moore.
Kalshi’s ruleJulianne Moore
If Julianne Moore has been nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
More entertainment markets.
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