Who will release a new album in 2026?
Lil Baby leads at >99%, followed by 21 Savage at 99% and Offset at 97%, from Kalshi’s prices.
Chances and prices from Kalshi’s public order book at Oct 30, 2026, 4:02 PM ET. Updated daily.
Chance of each outcomeChance
Lil BabyNo 1c
>99%21 SavageYes 99c · No 40c
99%OffsetYes 98c · No 40c
97%2 ChainzYes 95c · No 19c
88%Polo GYes 75c · No 66c
75%Post MaloneYes 63c · No 42c
61%Morgan WallenYes 96c · No 94c
60%Ice SpiceYes 58c · No 69c
57%Big SeanYes 93c · No 63c
55%EsDeeKidYes 71c · No 96c
46%Show 63 more outcomes
Olivia DeanYes 97c · No 77c
45%Roddy RicchYes 39c · No 97c
39%OzunaYes 97c · No 84c
39%Leon ThomasYes 77c · No 70c
35%PinkPantheressYes 39c · No 76c
32%Mariah CareyYes 96c · No 85c
31%Blink-182Yes 35c
31%The MaríasYes 36c · No 76c
30%Kali UchisYes 93c · No 73c
29%NFYes 96c · No 74c
28%Jay-ZYes 31c · No 77c
27%Ed SheeranYes 97c · No 86c
27%Justin BieberYes 33c · No 81c
26%Pharrell WilliamsYes 96c · No 76c
26%ColdplayYes 26c · No 98c
26%Lil WayneYes 27c · No 79c
24%Lola YoungYes 96c · No 83c
24%Tyler, The CreatorYes 25c · No 80c
23%Lana Del ReyYes 29c · No 85c
22%Daniel CaesarYes 97c · No 90c
22%Kendrick LamarYes 25c · No 83c
21%Addison RaeYes 96c · No 91c
21%Travis ScottYes 25c · No 84c
21%Playboi CartiYes 21c · No 86c
18%Fall Out BoyYes 96c · No 86c
17%Doja CatYes 24c · No 91c
17%The WeekndYes 70c · No 87c
16%Sabrina CarpenterYes 17c · No 87c
15%John MayerYes 20c · No 92c
14%RihannaYes 17c · No 89c
14%ROSALÍAYes 22c · No 94c
14%ClairoYes 18c · No 92c
13%Shawn MendesYes 21c · No 96c
13%Bad BunnyYes 20c · No 97c
12%Linkin ParkYes 17c · No 94c
12%EminemYes 35c · No 91c
11%Daft PunkYes 84c · No 97c
11%Dua LipaYes 18c · No 97c
11%Frank OceanYes 12c · No 92c
10%SombrYes 12c · No 96c
8%MigosYes 9c · No 93c
8%USHERYes 8c · No 93c
8%Tate McRaeYes 14c
7%Maroon 5Yes 96c · No 96c
7%Childish GambinoYes 96c · No 97c
6%SiaYes 72c · No 96c
4%Billie EilishYes 7c
4%GrimesYes 5c · No 99c
3%Justin TimberlakeYes 96c · No 97c
3%SZAYes 36c · No 97c
3%GeeseYes 4c · No 99c
3%PARTYNEXTDOORYes 4c · No 99c
3%Benson BooneYes 24c · No 98c
2%Calvin HarrisYes 93c · No 58c
No quoteMegan Thee StallionYes 94c · No 96c
No quoteBryson TillerYes 79c · No 70c
No quoteKhalidYes 59c · No 86c
No quoteNicki MinajYes 37c · No 85c
No quoteAnuel AAYes 94c · No 54c
No quoteChappell RoanYes 96c · No 81c
No quoteRüfüs Du SolYes 30c · No 98c
No quoteRauw AlejandroYes 41c · No 98c
No quoteLil Nas XYes 96c · No 89c
No quoteEach outcome is its own Kalshi market and more than one can settle Yes. The chance is the midpoint of its best bid and offer.
What settles it.
Each outcome has its own market. All use the same rule, each with its own name in it. The rule below is for Lil Baby.
Kalshi’s ruleLil Baby
If Lil Baby releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi’s published market rules. Kalshi decides how every market settles. How Kalshi settlement works.
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